Will Defence Spending Keep Rising After a Possible Putin–Trump Deal?
For professionals engaged in the defence industry and in the financial markets linked to it, understanding the trajectory of military investment after a potential Putin–Trump agreement is of fundamental importance. Such a political development could reshape security perceptions across Europe, the Indo-Pacific, and beyond, potentially altering procurement priorities, budgetary commitments, and industrial demand signals. The question is not only whether the geopolitical environment would become less tense, but whether the structural drivers that have been pushing defence spending upwards would lose momentum or remain firmly in place. Defence Finance Monitor examines the underlying forces that sustain military investment, even in periods of apparent diplomatic rapprochement, and assesses the strategic dynamics that could continue to shape defence markets regardless of headline political agreements.